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There is a story (you can read the details here) about Rashi telling a King that he will conquer Yerushalaim for 3 days and return with 3 horses and 3 riders. The King returned with 4, but as they entered the city walls, a stone fell down and killed 1 of the riders and his horse, fulfilling Rashi's words.

What is the source of this story?

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up vote 2 down vote accepted

This story is from Shalsheles HaKabalah (bottom of that page, continues to next page).

Shalsheles HaKabalah is a history book published by Gedalia ben Yosef Ibn Yechia in 1586.

This article (page 16) translates a longer version of the story from a manuscript that they say is from Gedalia ben Yosef Ibn Yechia. The article also discusses the veracity of the story.

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According to this wikipedia article, the author of Sefer HaDorot doubted the veracity of many of the stories in Shalshelet HaKabalah - he.wikipedia.org/wiki/… – Menachem Jul 20 '12 at 2:28
do we know if this is the earliest written source of this story? – Menachem Jul 20 '12 at 2:28
@Menachem I googled it and found this article. See p. 7 for a discussion of the veracity of the story – b a Jul 20 '12 at 2:40

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